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General MMA Discussion & Future Lines - March, 2018

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by kenfloshogun, Feb 28, 2018.

  1. mkess101

    mkess101 World Series or bust...

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    Need to watch tape but initial thought is that OSP can be a slow starter and has multiple fights he was losing but came back to win with opportunistic KO's. Pedro starts fast iirc. Something to consider.
     
  2. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    I am on JDS for 3.5u at -141. Blagoy's boxing is decent, but he is undersized, cardio isn't very good and I am not sure he has much for power. He went 5 competetive rounds with Josh Copeland recently, with the majority of the fight playing out on the feet.

    I didn't like how JDS kept backing to the cage against Stipe, but he was clearly hesitant due to Stipes size/power combo and Stipe's boxing is excellent. Blagoy doesn't have the footwork, reach (JDS 4 inch reach advantage vs 3 inch reach disadvantage to Stipe), power, etc. to have sucess doing the same. Think we are getting a pretty significant discount on JDS, this is his worst opponent in a decade.
     
    Last edited: Jun 12, 2018
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  3. northsofia

    northsofia Orange Belt

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    Just to mention that in his fight with Copeland, Blagoy suffered a big cut from head clash, maybe that is why he played it a little safer. No matter that, your points are absolute valid, but i am still not confident in Junior`s chin and this is 5 round fight, Blagoy will catch him sooner or later.
     
  4. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    It's possible, but he isn't a big puncher and clearly slows down, 5 rounds favors JDS imo.
     
    Last edited: Jun 12, 2018
  5. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    BTW anyone going to start up a separate thread for UFC Fight Night 132? 3 fights with lines..
     
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  6. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    i agree, against alencar, although he won easily, he looked poor. Plodding, slow And unfit (thinkit was the heaviest he’s ever weighed in at which is weird) seen his last few performances and he can’t cut the ring off well and doesn’t mix his game up, just think JDS at this price is very nice tbh like you say!
     
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  7. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I will do it now. Until yesterday, Sherdog's list of bouts was not complete for some reason so I didn't want to screen cap it like that.
     
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  8. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    Thanks man. If i wans't a bum with technology I would've done it myself lol.
     
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  9. zeckdo

    zeckdo Blue Belt

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  10. MacPherson911

    MacPherson911 Blue Belt

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    tons of value on OSP as an underdog. Pedro is totally unproven commodity at this point.
     
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  11. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    Normally I hate betting on future events and letting the bookie sit on my money, but at these odds I've to at least put a couple hundred down on T-wood.

    Colby's game won't work against Woodley who's the better wrestler and striker here. And I like it that Woodley has already agreed to fight him on the MMA Hour and on twitter as well and seems really excited to beat Colby's ass.

    EDIT:
    At BetOnline Woodley is -125
     
    Last edited: Jun 13, 2018
  12. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    I'm also on JDS here, Blagoy's going to have a lot of problems getting into range and while Blagoy's boxing is pretty good I think JDS is miles ahead of the Bulgarian.

    Just rewatched the Alencar fight and Blagoy's already gassed after 2 rounds, so I think you definitely right that a 5 round fight favours JDS.

    All by all I'm happy to take the bigger, more skilled fighter with the better gas tank @-152 / 1.66.
     
    Last edited: Jun 13, 2018
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  13. Monster Meat

    Monster Meat Green Belt

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    Max halloway dropped to -170 ok I’ll take that
     
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  14. theantso

    theantso Blue Belt

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    What would you set the line as personally?
    Think theres any value on a sub? He loves them von fluke chokes, its like he wants to set a near unbeatable worldrecord
     
  15. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    disagree, colby will force woodley to work when he doesn't want to and destroy his gas tank. i love colby as a dog.
     
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  16. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    I'm really confident in Woodley here, really can't see Colby winning this one.
     
  17. Yotsuya

    Yotsuya Green Belt

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    Betway has Covington at 2.4.
     
  18. raketmannen

    raketmannen Brown Belt

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    Bet-at-home lines I haven't seen anywhere else

    Hunt -200
    Oleinik +140

    Gaethje -117
    Iaquinta -117

    Tybura -400
    Struve +255
     
  19. Shoulder

    Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

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    I think Covington can beat Woodley on volumr and pressure. Woodley wants to throw so much fewer strikes than Covington will force him to do.
     
    Last edited: Jun 13, 2018
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  20. Karmello

    Karmello Purple Belt

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    Cage Warriors 94 odds from this Saturday:
    Schermafbeelding 2018-06-14 om 18.41.48.png
     
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