General MMA Discussion & Future Lines - February, 2017

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by mkess101, Feb 1, 2017.

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  1. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    So far we all put Khabib itd as probably the least likely scenario and 5d has it as the second MOST likely LOL. I'm gonna hold off on betting more on it. But the reason imo that it's so unlikely isn't because Khabib can't finish guys (we've seen he can). It's because the way he finishes guys is by grinding them out and breaking their will. Ferg has cardio for days so he's not caving based on that LOL. And he's just not the kind of guy who has his will broken. Khabib doesn't have one shot KO power at all. And if Ferg survived that flush head kick from Vanetta, it might take a baseball bat to KO him anyway. And his grappling is plenty good that we won't see a repeat of what Khabib did to MJ.

    So in the end I'm sitting tight with what I have on the prop. BUT...can't wait for Ferg NSC LOL!!
     
  2. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

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    You've made a great case, IIRC most of his subs are late in fights when guys are gassed and wills are broken. Ferg has no quit, pretty sure he outcardios Khabib too. 4u for me.
     
  3. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    Ferg Dec
    Khabib Dec
    Ferg ITD


    Khabib ITD

    Agree with the above. I think the top three are all very close in likelihood with Khabib ITD being pretty far below.
     
  4. HeDucking

    HeDucking Im so Groovy Banned

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    Watch Khabib come out with Platinum type hands, KO Ferg and bust a bunch of parlays.
     
  5. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    Tim Means vs Brazilian Cowboy rematch in the works for UFC FN 106. Hoping we get similar odds on Means as the first fight..

    [​IMG]The MMA Kings‏@mma_kings
    BREAKING: Tim Means (@MeansTim) vs. Alex Oliveira (@AlexCowboyUFC) rematch in the works for UFC Fight Night: Fortaleza (per Combate) #UFC

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
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  6. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Unfortunately I think Means is going to be juiced this time. He opened at -140 last time and money came in on BC. I doubt that happens again.
     
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  7. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    yea, but the whole thing sucked on his bonehead move. we who had means at +money picked the right side but should have lost w/his mistake
     
  8. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    and i agree, khabib ITD price is a couple hundred points lower than it should be

    ..that juice, tho... not khabib ITD is -265 to the +165
     
  9. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Agreed, I was on Means too. At first I was pissed at him for being so stupid, then I felt lucky to get my money back.
     
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  10. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    I'm so happy Means vs BC is happening again. I think we all saw in the short time it lasted that Means is better. I still hope hes not that juiced, but at something like -200 i'd feel ok putting him in my event round robin
     
  11. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    Yeah I think I would hit him straight at anything less than -150, may look to parlay him up to -200 in a double. If somehow he opend around evens I would probably make a 3u+ play..
     
  12. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    I would seriously make a 10u play if he opened at evens, especially since all the money will come in on him. 100% confident that wont happen though
     
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  13. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    I was huge on means but odds are gonna suck this time. Prob too juiced for me to play su and im not sure i want to parlay him.
     
  14. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Anyone like kelly against evans?
     
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  15. chemmy

    chemmy Blue Belt

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    At the right price (+200 minimum), I'd consider playing him, but I definitely think Rashad is likely to pick up the win.
     
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  16. mkess101

    mkess101 85 or bust...

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    Yeah noticed that too but the -265 is still good. It's the +165 that's an absolute and complete joke. I wouldn't even begin to CONSIDER it below +350. I'm fine with the juice.
     
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  17. MMAJay

    MMAJay Green Belt

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    Off topic, but just saw that Means vs. Oliveira 2 has just been added to the fight card the 10th of march. Means was one of my largest bets of 2016, and he was dominating Olive IMO. Excited to see Means back in the ring
     
  18. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Im huge on ferg ml.
     
  19. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    Yeah right after I wrote that I was thinking if he actually opened at evens I would be much heavier than 3 units. I belevie I had 2-3 units at -120 the first time lol. However I agree we will be lucky to get -150..
     
  20. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    I threw a unit on his ML already, but wanted to see which way the line moved before adding more. I think it should be closer to evens, but wouldn't be surprised if it moved the other way tbh..
     
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