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Yeah, yeah i know its 99.99% impossible, but lets analize this hypothetical fight.
I will try to be objective and polite, so anyone that is interested, please read this.
Lets leave aside some freak fight ending possibilites and assume there are only 3 ways of winning a fight: by T(KO),submission or by decision.
Lets do the case for Jones first:
1.)T(KO):
Does Jones have the power to knock Mirko out? Probably yes, if it lands 100% clean, but Jones is not known for his power, and that was LHW division, we are now talking about HW.
Is he going to connect 100% clean on Mirko? Very unlikely...CC is not a fat wrestler who started training striking in his 30s but one of the best strikers this sport has ever seen, or any sport as a matter of fact.
Some would say "but what about Randleman?"...Mirko clearly underestimated Kevin back then, it was a huge uspet and the game has evolved plus Randleman is like 3 times more explosive and has 3 times more power than Jones.
So is it likely for Jones to T(KO) CC : Very unlikely
2.)Submission:
Mirko has been submitted only 2 times in his entire career. Both times was against the very best submission artists the HW division has ever seen. First time against Nog back when Mirko was just a novice in ground fighting and before he brought in Werdum.
The second time relatively recently when he made some stupid mistakes, which is unusual for Mirko, and tried to outgrapple then pretty anonymous Oleynik, which was silly...it only indicates he didn't take that fight seriously...On the other hand, he would take Jones very seriously.
And Mirko has been known for years as a great defensive fighter on the ground, while Jones as good as he is, is not Demian Maia or Werdum, or a BJJ black belt on that level.
So is it likely for Jones to submitt CC : Very unlikely
3.)Decision:
Jones would most certainly give Mirko many problems with his style...for example those knee strikes he uses frequently...Mirko hates those. Plus Mirko is almost 43 and has shot knees...so it probably wouldn't be too hard for Jones to take Mirko down...but only with some single or double legs because i don't see Jones outpowering one of the physically strongest fighters in the HW divison, and that is based on many fighters that faced Mirko, who later prased his physical strenght...remember, this is HW.
GnP? Jones is excellent there but so is Mirko...Jones would do some damage but i don't see him finishing Mirko there...remember, probably the GOAT of GnP, Fedor couldn't do anything to Mirko.
So is it likely for Jones to dominate and take a decison : Very LIKELY
Now, case for Mirko:
1.)T(KO):
Strong possibility. Mirko is one of the best finishers and strikers this sport has ever seen...so is it possible for him,such a powerful HW to knock a LHW Jones out? Absolutely.
Long story short...
2.)Submission: No
3.)Decision: Very unlikely
So the conclusion is, the fight would finish almost certainly either Jones by decision, or Mirko by T(KO)...i would say its 65-35 for Jones...i am just being a realistic Mirko's fan...however,prime CC would be a different story(Mirko being a favourite, ofcourse).
I will try to be objective and polite, so anyone that is interested, please read this.
Lets leave aside some freak fight ending possibilites and assume there are only 3 ways of winning a fight: by T(KO),submission or by decision.
Lets do the case for Jones first:
1.)T(KO):
Does Jones have the power to knock Mirko out? Probably yes, if it lands 100% clean, but Jones is not known for his power, and that was LHW division, we are now talking about HW.
Is he going to connect 100% clean on Mirko? Very unlikely...CC is not a fat wrestler who started training striking in his 30s but one of the best strikers this sport has ever seen, or any sport as a matter of fact.
Some would say "but what about Randleman?"...Mirko clearly underestimated Kevin back then, it was a huge uspet and the game has evolved plus Randleman is like 3 times more explosive and has 3 times more power than Jones.
So is it likely for Jones to T(KO) CC : Very unlikely
2.)Submission:
Mirko has been submitted only 2 times in his entire career. Both times was against the very best submission artists the HW division has ever seen. First time against Nog back when Mirko was just a novice in ground fighting and before he brought in Werdum.
The second time relatively recently when he made some stupid mistakes, which is unusual for Mirko, and tried to outgrapple then pretty anonymous Oleynik, which was silly...it only indicates he didn't take that fight seriously...On the other hand, he would take Jones very seriously.
And Mirko has been known for years as a great defensive fighter on the ground, while Jones as good as he is, is not Demian Maia or Werdum, or a BJJ black belt on that level.
So is it likely for Jones to submitt CC : Very unlikely
3.)Decision:
Jones would most certainly give Mirko many problems with his style...for example those knee strikes he uses frequently...Mirko hates those. Plus Mirko is almost 43 and has shot knees...so it probably wouldn't be too hard for Jones to take Mirko down...but only with some single or double legs because i don't see Jones outpowering one of the physically strongest fighters in the HW divison, and that is based on many fighters that faced Mirko, who later prased his physical strenght...remember, this is HW.
GnP? Jones is excellent there but so is Mirko...Jones would do some damage but i don't see him finishing Mirko there...remember, probably the GOAT of GnP, Fedor couldn't do anything to Mirko.
So is it likely for Jones to dominate and take a decison : Very LIKELY
Now, case for Mirko:
1.)T(KO):
Strong possibility. Mirko is one of the best finishers and strikers this sport has ever seen...so is it possible for him,such a powerful HW to knock a LHW Jones out? Absolutely.
Long story short...
2.)Submission: No
3.)Decision: Very unlikely
So the conclusion is, the fight would finish almost certainly either Jones by decision, or Mirko by T(KO)...i would say its 65-35 for Jones...i am just being a realistic Mirko's fan...however,prime CC would be a different story(Mirko being a favourite, ofcourse).