I think Overeem definitely is the better fighter technically speaking, but his continuous lack of striking defence and being too cocky leads to many dangerous situations when fighting an opponent like Brown. If Overeem realizes his chin isn't that good, that he's no Anderson Silva and that he packs too much muscle which makes him gas in the 1st round, I think he could have a shot at winning the belt at some point. Unfortunately, I don't see this happening.
Although defeat usually leads to more focus and harder work, I don't think that's the case for Overeem. I think he has been mentally beaten after the testosteron failure and loss to Silva, and I don't think he has been focussed enough in training nor has he spent enough time assessing what he needs to improve in order to beat Brown.
Brown by KO. I'm a big Overeem fan, but I don't think he has the mindset of a champ in an elite division.
