Bellator 192 - Lima vs MacDonald - Inglewood, CA

Bellator 192 Risk $1400.00

Quinton Jackson (-145) vs Chael Sonnen $290.00 for $200.00
Quinton Jackson (-150) vs Chael Sonnen $150.00 for $100.00
Quinton Jackson (-150) vs Chael Sonnen $150.00 for $100.00
Quinton Jackson (-155) vs Chael Sonnen $310.00 for $200.00

Douglas Lima (+210) vs Rory MacDonald $100.00 for $210.00
Douglas Lima (+195) vs Rory MacDonald $100.00 for $195.00

Michael Chandler/Goiti Yamauchi Under 2½ (+137) $100.00 for $137.00

Henry Corrales (+100) vs Georgi Karakhanyan $100.00 for $100.00
Henry Corrales (+100) vs Georgi Karakhanyan $100.00 for $100.00
 
Lima dec +435 too. Little on that along with a ML play.

And yeah, Chael is straight up in it for a paycheck now. Rampage at least TRIED against King Mo. Chael just quit vs the ghost of Tito. I'll pay the juice.
 
Put $100 @ $1.62 on Rampage after seeing him at the weigh ins. I think he genuinely wants to win this tourney. Chael is in for an ass whoopin if he steps in there against the Mir's and Mitrione's of the world and he knows it.
 
Bellator 192 Risk $1400.00

Quinton Jackson (-145) vs Chael Sonnen $290.00 for $200.00
Quinton Jackson (-150) vs Chael Sonnen $150.00 for $100.00
Quinton Jackson (-150) vs Chael Sonnen $150.00 for $100.00
Quinton Jackson (-155) vs Chael Sonnen $310.00 for $200.00

Douglas Lima (+210) vs Rory MacDonald $100.00 for $210.00
Douglas Lima (+195) vs Rory MacDonald $100.00 for $195.00

Michael Chandler/Goiti Yamauchi Under 2½ (+137) $100.00 for $137.00

Henry Corrales (+100) vs Georgi Karakhanyan $100.00 for $100.00
Henry Corrales (+100) vs Georgi Karakhanyan $100.00 for $100.00
Jim, for the Chandler/Goiti fight, do you think Chandler KO's him? Is that why you're going with the Under? I feel Goitis best chance to finish is via sub but has Chandler ever been subbed? Would it possibly be wiser to play Chandler ITD at +175? (5Dimes)
 
Shit. Am I nuts or did rampage look decent?

I thought Sonnen looked like he could give a shit
 


Love the relation between Rampage and his coach, Bobby Rimmer.
Plus, Bobby Rimmer is a LEGIT boxing coach, he trained Ricky Hatton :)
 
1u Rampage @1.50 (shitty prize I know)
1u Rampage + o2.5 Kattar Burgos @2.25

0.5u Lima @3.00
0.2u Kruchten @7.00
 
Honestly, Rampage looking good is really just icing on the cake imo. Even if he'd looked a bit flabbier (like he did vs King Mo) I'd be laying juice on him here.

Watch Rampage/King Mo, then watch Chael/Tito.

Rampage clearly won a round vs King Mo, had him a little hurt, and stuffed every TD in rd 3. He was still trying to win late in the fight despite dropping the first 2 rounds. He looked like a FIGHTER, if nothing else.

Chael literally QUIT vs Tito. To the point where some people in here were thinking it was a bit of a shady finish.

Chael has no KO power at all, so a fluke KO is extremely unlikely for him. His knees are shot, and he's gonna be outweighed by 35 lbs or so. Even fatter Rampage had enough in the tank to stop King Mo's TD's in rd 3 of that fight, and now he looks fit. How the hell does Chael win this fight? What is his path to victory here?

I'm actually big on Rampage. Maybe more than I'm comfortable on a fight of this nature, but I just don't see how Chael wins aside from some crazy fluke. Rampage should be -300 imo.
 
I just noticed 5dimes has the props on Rampage/Chael set at 5 rounds. This is 3 rounds, correct? Do you think they'll honor the props or they truly have them based off of 5 rounds?
 
Those fuckers scare me, Rampage is by far my biggest bet of the weekend.
I won't back down though, Rampage ftw!

 
I just noticed 5dimes has the props on Rampage/Chael set at 5 rounds. This is 3 rounds, correct? Do you think they'll honor the props or they truly have them based off of 5 rounds?

If it's 3 rounds, they will void them.

I would for sure hit Rampage dec +460 and fight goes distance +170 if those were set for 3 rounds. I'd bet them now, but my worry is that if the fight goes the distance they get voided and if it's a stoppage within 3 rounds I lose my bets. Don't want to risk it personally.
 
I think you guys going big on Rampage are nuts. The Rampage that fought Ishii should really worry you. He damn near lost that at a -400 favorite. Who knows what version of both fighters show up.
 
I think you guys going big on Rampage are nuts. The Rampage that fought Ishii should really worry you. He damn near lost that at a -400 favorite. Who knows what version of both fighters show up.

Chael stopped caring a long time ago. Rampage weighing in like he did shows he put in a lot of work in camp (unlike what he looked like vs King Mo). Why put in all that work if you don't give a shit and don't care if you are gonna win? The juice isn't THAT big, either.

I only had to lay -175 vs a much smaller, slower guy with shot knees and seemingly zero will to win. In his last fight, he tapped to:

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If Rampage was -400 again like vs Ishii LOL, then yeah, no chance I'd bet him. But at this point, I don't know who Sonnen could actually beat. Oh, and Sonnen is an average sized MW in reality. Ramapage was always on the bigger side of LHW.

It's a fight (and a weird one granted) so anything can happen, but laying this juice is absolutely justified imo.
 
Bellator 192 Risk $1400.00

Quinton Jackson (-145) vs Chael Sonnen $290.00 for $200.00
Quinton Jackson (-150) vs Chael Sonnen $150.00 for $100.00
Quinton Jackson (-150) vs Chael Sonnen $150.00 for $100.00
Quinton Jackson (-155) vs Chael Sonnen $310.00 for $200.00

Douglas Lima (+210) vs Rory MacDonald $100.00 for $210.00
Douglas Lima (+195) vs Rory MacDonald $100.00 for $195.00

Michael Chandler/Goiti Yamauchi Under 2½ (+137) $100.00 for $137.00

Henry Corrales (+100) vs Georgi Karakhanyan $100.00 for $100.00
Henry Corrales (+100) vs Georgi Karakhanyan $100.00 for $100.00
Hello fellow redditor.
 
Tito wasn't Chael's last fight bro. He cruised to a very easy decision win over Wandy. I'm not crazy to play Chael here unless that decision line would be accurate, but depending on Rampage as a favorite for a heavy play at this stage is asking for trouble. There are definitely red flags there. He struggled with a grappler in Ishii, recently struggled Mo's wrestling, and has shown a tendency to be content against the cage. Not saying there aren't a ton of red flags with Chael too, but that's the point. It's a big gamble either way in this fight.
 
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