Bellator 188 - Pitbull vs Weichel II - Israel

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Oct 28, 2017.

  1. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I just re-watched Jessica Middleton's four pro fights, all of them in Bellator. She's a non-athletic striker who has children and worked a full time job as a forklift driver until this summer. She has never initiated a takedown even once in all those fights. And she got tagged in the face multiple times by Alice Yauger, a 4-4 older woman whose fighting name is literally "The Soccer Mom" in her last win. She is coming off two losses in a row, has never stopped anyone as a pro even in her two wins and has also never fought outside the United States. Meanwhile, I listened to Denise's interview from after her last kickboxing title defense in April 2017 on FightBox.com where she said she had a black belt in judo for many years and was training a lot of ground game in preparation for her Bellator MMA debut in November, and that this was something that she was really looking forward to. Here on her Twitter you can see videos of her training a lot of ground as well in the Netherlands to complement her world class kickboxing skills. https://twitter.com/denisekielholtz?lang=en In short, in my opinion, there has never been a WMMA line more wrong than this one with Kielholtz as a more than +200 underdog. I maxed it on 5D and will add more elsewhere at or near that price.
     
  2. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    Cool $1k on her let’s eat
     
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  3. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

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    I've never been more convinced to tail. 2.5u +200
     
  4. BatBoyJG

    BatBoyJG Brown Belt

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    Looks like we, and whoever else saw your post Jim bet it down to +110
     
  5. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    got in at +155, best of luck everyone.
     
  6. NinjaCat456

    NinjaCat456 Green Belt

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    Jumped on board.

    Looking at Denise just a couple of things bugging me though. How small she is (4 inches shorter than her opponent..?), and how pretty she is. Guess I'll have the option of arbing down when that line movement filters through to this side of the pond.
     
  7. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    You saved me the trouble of viewing tape thank you!
     
  8. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    Bookies caught on aha Denise gone to 1.8
     
  9. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    i have £260 on denise to return £663.

    i can get jessica at + money now, not sure if i should hedge a bit.
     
  10. Jae Gibbz

    Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    Seems to me like the lines should have opened the other way around for the Kielholtz/Middleton fight...
     
  11. Jae Gibbz

    Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    I also think the o2.5 in the girl fight at -125 is mispriced...

    Middleton ain't finishing shit and all 20 of Kielholtz's pro kickboxing fights went the distance...
     
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  12. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    Anyone watch kickboxing fight with wijmans? She did several judo throws aha
     
  13. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    Holy crap. Kielholtz now -155

    I figured line would drop but wow, lol. Wish I did more somehow at +205...
     
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  14. NinjaCat456

    NinjaCat456 Green Belt

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    Just a heads up for anyone who wants to hedge. William Hill have got Middleton @ +120 and you can further boost those odds to +129. Freeroll city.
     
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  15. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    1.9 available on 888 sport that’s best. Seeing 8/11 elsewhere
     
  16. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    Weigh ins
     

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  17. NinjaCat456

    NinjaCat456 Green Belt

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    Yeah if nothing else a significant size advantage for Middleton.
     
  18. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    You playing Middleton? Or free rolling
     
  19. NinjaCat456

    NinjaCat456 Green Belt

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    Freerolling. Got Denise @ +155 on betsafe last night, that line moved fast.
     
  20. Rapidryan88

    Rapidryan88 Green Belt

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    Lucky! I had to take 1.9 as when that was posted I was asleep aha was like 3/4 am uk time unfortunately and changed before I woke
     

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