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Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Sep 4, 2017.
I'm on Straus DEC, Texiera DEC and Caldwell DEC.
Man, some of those betsafe lines are ridiculous.
watch u like?
Bellator 184: Dantas vs. Caldwel
OCTOBER 6, 2017
WinStar World Casino and Resort | Thackerville, Oklahoma
Main Card - (Spike, 9PM ET)
Eduardo Dantas +100
Darrion Caldwell -140
Over 4.5 -135
Under 4.5 -105
Emmanuel Sanchez +165
Daniel Straus -215
Over 2.5 -245
Under 2.5 +175
John Teixeira +145
Pat Curran -185
Over 2.5 -215
Under 2.5 +165
Joe Taimanglo +160
Leandro Higo -210
Over 2.5 -180
Under 2.5 +140
thought we'd get a line on kozola-banks, too
but i guess it is just a 4 fight main card, not a 5 fight one (like they used to), and it is a damned solid 4 fights
man i think they nailed these openers. i favor all 4 of the guys who are favored, but none of them are terribly steep, kinda all in no-bet-territory for me right now...
wow, dantas got bet a bunch, line has flipped, caldwell is now +130.. i think i gotta take this, he's my lean.... going small, tho. maybe i'm wrong and maybe the line will continue to improve
Meh. Like the overs for the first three fights for my weekend round robin. Thinking about playing the over in the main straight if it stays around -130
Basically the lines that I liked were set much better by Kalikas lol.
man i don't understand the movement sometimes on fights
the over 2.5 dropped from -230 to -190 on curran-teixeira.. have people not seen them fight? shit is a surefire decision hehe, i took what i could on it
also took O2.5 -155 on taimagnlo-higo
i think all 4 overs may very well hit on friday for bellator, hehe. but the above 2 + caldwell ML at +128 net are my 3 plays so far
caldwell-dantas O4.5 down to -110, took it
dantas has 5 straight decisions.. including a couple 5 rounders... but he still has excellent defensive bjj chops etc (never been subbed, etc)
sincerely think we get 4 decisions in 4 fights this bellator
Took some of that, great price.
Overs are definitely the play. I like Curran/Teixeira -210 the best, but they are all good.
Also contemplating some action on Curran -170 and Straus -185 but they aren't special. I like this weekend's UFC card much more than Bellator.
I hit Caldwell for 2u over Dantas at +100. His wrestling is special and Dantas got outwrestled by Warren. I also am eager to see the size difference as I believe Caldwell is bigger than Dantas. Also a small play on the over 2½ of Curran/Teixeira at -219.
1.95u here -130, i can't pass this up
before lines, i expected to be betting sanchez at +200 etc, but now? price dictates play.
straus has only fought pitbull and curran in the past like 5 years, haha. the two dudes outside of them he smoked. sanchez is in between those levels.
straus has a solid standup edge w/that power left straight and powerful left kicks.. has the wrestling edge.. he's a clear favorite. if it was straus of like.. 18 months ago or 2 years ago.. this would be a 4u play
edit: went from 1.3u to 1.95u
Yeah hard to trust Strauss + Sanchez gets better and always fights for your money but Strauss should be able to win this cleanly for reasons you stated. Still feeling gunshy but gonna give it some thought. Hopefully that line stays put
Yeah this Straus line is fairly ridiculous. Dude performs like a monster on a round by round basis, his record would be pretty amazing without late submission losses to Curran + Freire. And Sanchez isn't a finisher so this could easily be Straus 30-27 across the board.
He didn't so good in his last fight, but he's only 33-- do we really think the old Straus is dead? Maybe he slipped a little but also happened to have a bad fight. This price is too good to pass up.
I also like pairing Curran -165 with o2.5 -220. Teixeira isn't going to finish and Curran is going win with late finish or by decision fairly often.
can someone explain wtf is going on with the price on straus?