Bellator 184 - Dantas vs Caldwell - Oklahoma

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Sep 4, 2017.

  1. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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  2. kenfloshogun

    kenfloshogun Orange Belt

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    Betsafe Odds
     

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  3. 1PunchKO

    1PunchKO Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    I'm on Straus DEC, Texiera DEC and Caldwell DEC.
     
  4. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Man, some of those betsafe lines are ridiculous.
     
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  5. rille31

    rille31 Brown Belt

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    watch u like?
     
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  6. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/12266-bellator-184-betting-odds

    Bellator 184: Dantas vs. Caldwel
    OCTOBER 6, 2017
    WinStar World Casino and Resort | Thackerville, Oklahoma

    Main Card - (Spike, 9PM ET)


    Bantamweight Title

    Eduardo Dantas +100
    Darrion Caldwell -140

    Over 4.5 -135
    Under 4.5 -105
    -

    Emmanuel Sanchez +165
    Daniel Straus -215

    Over 2.5 -245
    Under 2.5 +175
    -

    John Teixeira +145
    Pat Curran -185

    Over 2.5 -215
    Under 2.5 +165
    -

    Joe Taimanglo +160
    Leandro Higo -210

    Over 2.5 -180
    Under 2.5 +140
    -
     
  7. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    thought we'd get a line on kozola-banks, too

    but i guess it is just a 4 fight main card, not a 5 fight one (like they used to), and it is a damned solid 4 fights
     
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  8. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    man i think they nailed these openers. i favor all 4 of the guys who are favored, but none of them are terribly steep, kinda all in no-bet-territory for me right now...
     
  9. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    wow, dantas got bet a bunch, line has flipped, caldwell is now +130.. i think i gotta take this, he's my lean.... going small, tho. maybe i'm wrong and maybe the line will continue to improve
     
  10. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Meh. Like the overs for the first three fights for my weekend round robin. Thinking about playing the over in the main straight if it stays around -130
     
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  11. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Basically the lines that I liked were set much better by Kalikas lol.
     
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  12. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    man i don't understand the movement sometimes on fights

    the over 2.5 dropped from -230 to -190 on curran-teixeira.. have people not seen them fight? shit is a surefire decision hehe, i took what i could on it

    also took O2.5 -155 on taimagnlo-higo

    i think all 4 overs may very well hit on friday for bellator, hehe. but the above 2 + caldwell ML at +128 net are my 3 plays so far
     
  13. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    caldwell-dantas O4.5 down to -110, took it

    dantas has 5 straight decisions.. including a couple 5 rounders... but he still has excellent defensive bjj chops etc (never been subbed, etc)

    sincerely think we get 4 decisions in 4 fights this bellator
     
  14. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Took some of that, great price.
     
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  15. lifeisgood12345

    lifeisgood12345 Blue Belt

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    Overs are definitely the play. I like Curran/Teixeira -210 the best, but they are all good.

    Also contemplating some action on Curran -170 and Straus -185 but they aren't special. I like this weekend's UFC card much more than Bellator.
     
  16. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I hit Caldwell for 2u over Dantas at +100. His wrestling is special and Dantas got outwrestled by Warren. I also am eager to see the size difference as I believe Caldwell is bigger than Dantas. Also a small play on the over 2½ of Curran/Teixeira at -219.
     
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  17. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    1.95u here -130, i can't pass this up

    before lines, i expected to be betting sanchez at +200 etc, but now? price dictates play.

    straus has only fought pitbull and curran in the past like 5 years, haha. the two dudes outside of them he smoked. sanchez is in between those levels.

    straus has a solid standup edge w/that power left straight and powerful left kicks.. has the wrestling edge.. he's a clear favorite. if it was straus of like.. 18 months ago or 2 years ago.. this would be a 4u play

    edit: went from 1.3u to 1.95u
     
    Last edited: Oct 5, 2017
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  18. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Yeah hard to trust Strauss + Sanchez gets better and always fights for your money but Strauss should be able to win this cleanly for reasons you stated. Still feeling gunshy but gonna give it some thought. Hopefully that line stays put
     
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  19. lifeisgood12345

    lifeisgood12345 Blue Belt

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    Yeah this Straus line is fairly ridiculous. Dude performs like a monster on a round by round basis, his record would be pretty amazing without late submission losses to Curran + Freire. And Sanchez isn't a finisher so this could easily be Straus 30-27 across the board.

    He didn't so good in his last fight, but he's only 33-- do we really think the old Straus is dead? Maybe he slipped a little but also happened to have a bad fight. This price is too good to pass up.

    I also like pairing Curran -165 with o2.5 -220. Teixeira isn't going to finish and Curran is going win with late finish or by decision fairly often.
     
  20. piglord

    piglord Brown Belt

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    can someone explain wtf is going on with the price on straus?
     

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