Bellator 174 - Budd vs Coenen - Oklahoma

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Feb 27, 2017.

  1. LEMONZEST

    LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2015
    Messages:
    3,501
    Likes Received:
    2,303
    insansity agreed.
     
    MMA Goodfella likes this.
  2. lawmills2006

    lawmills2006 Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 2, 2009
    Messages:
    2,107
    Likes Received:
    658
    Location:
    Haggisland
    Don't get it twisted, I'm on Girtz too because of that and due to sheer value, but going up a weight against a gritty guy like Gonzalez, not as confident as you are.
     
  3. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,938
    Likes Received:
    17,103
    Location:
    philly
    i'm confident in the bet being correct, not in him winning ;)

    i have it right about 50/50
     
    lawmills2006 likes this.
  4. LEMONZEST

    LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2015
    Messages:
    3,501
    Likes Received:
    2,303
    Girtz over + Coenen over returns even money. On that for 1u
     
  5. wack3d

    wack3d Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2006
    Messages:
    13,827
    Likes Received:
    5,965
    1u Grtitz +162
    0.7u Coenen +155

    sucks we only have two lines to play
     
    EzFlyer likes this.
  6. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,938
    Likes Received:
    17,103
    Location:
    philly
    yea frustrating. i guess we might've been better served just waiting for coenen NSC, but oh well. i'm ok w/ the bet. she has more ways to win. but no one should be surprised if budd lays on her for the majority of 25 mins.

    i like the girtz bet, good value on a coinflip type of situation for me. i back gonzalez pretty often, but girtz is a powerful dude. could clip gonz, could outwrestle him, etc. gonz missed weight, too.. gonz looked the exact same size, even tho he is normally a WW and girtz normally a LW, etc
     
    wack3d likes this.
  7. LEMONZEST

    LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2015
    Messages:
    3,501
    Likes Received:
    2,303
    Yeah close fights but happy with the value on Coenen and Girtz as dogs.
     
  8. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,938
    Likes Received:
    17,103
    Location:
    philly
    no doubt. could go 0-2. but i'm content w/the plays
     
  9. weedreference

    weedreference Green Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2010
    Messages:
    1,287
    Likes Received:
    719
    I have more respect for Gonzalez than most. He has some close range boxing skills that most MMA guys lack, and knows what he's doing on the ground. Still not gonna pay the juice on him, though. The entire fight is a no play.

    I'm not even gonna watch the chick fights to catch up, so the other one is a no play as well.

    Both overs juiced to hell.

    Damn you, Bellator.
     
  10. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    10,856
    Likes Received:
    6,090
    I played the line movement betting both sides in the main event so in effect on the moneylines I have Marloes Coenen risking $100.00 at +180 to win $180.00. Hope she pulls off a late sub!

    Bellator 174
    Risk $880.50

    Marloes Coenen (+160) vs Julia Budd $200.00 for $320.00
    Julia Budd (-140) vs Marloes Coenen $140.00 for $100.00
    Marloes Coenen wins inside distance (+295) $30.00 for $88.50
    Marloes Coenen/Julia Budd Over 2½ (-215) $107.50 for $50.00
    Marloes Coenen/Julia Budd Draw (+6000) $10.00 for $600.00

    Brandon Girtz (+140) vs Fernando Gonzalez $100.00 for $140.00
    Brandon Girtz/Fernando Gonzalez Over 1½ (-215) $107.50 for $50.00
    Brandon Girtz/Fernando Gonzalez Draw (+6000) $10.00 for $600.00

    Rafael Lovato Jr./Charles Hackmann does not start round 2 (+159) ~$66.61 for ~$105.91

    Justin Wren/Roman Pizzolato starts round 2 (+100) ~$38.43 for ~$38.43

    Jason Witt (-130) vs Justin Patterson ~$70.46 for ~$54.20
     
  11. rille31

    rille31 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2012
    Messages:
    3,462
    Likes Received:
    1,632
    Location:
    sweden
    Where did you find the rest of the props?
     
    Jae Gibbz, lawmills2006 and LEMONZEST like this.
  12. Jae Gibbz

    Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,470
    Likes Received:
    2,864
    He won't say. I already asked him

    I don't know why he would post those bets and not say where he got them. He should just keep it to himself and not post them at all...
     
  13. rille31

    rille31 Brown Belt

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2012
    Messages:
    3,462
    Likes Received:
    1,632
    Location:
    sweden
    Funny, he could propably capitalize on some line movement
     
  14. Jae Gibbz

    Jae Gibbz Black Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2009
    Messages:
    6,470
    Likes Received:
    2,864
    I just think it's funny that he posts those bets and won't say where he got them from. It's like a slap in the face to the thread, imo.
     
  15. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2014
    Messages:
    12,120
    Likes Received:
    9,155
    Girtz gonzalez o 1.5 + Budd £150 for £171
     
  16. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,938
    Likes Received:
    17,103
    Location:
    philly
    Bella 174 Risk: 200
    coenen +165: 50 for 82.50
    girtz +159: 150 for 238.25
    ---

    that's it, thx to the other two fights being voided. (i hedged my coenen play back to a half unit. might add it back if NSC ever comes up)
     
    Tebowned likes this.
  17. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    10,856
    Likes Received:
    6,090
    Tiny limits.
     
    rille31 likes this.
  18. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    10,856
    Likes Received:
    6,090
    I kind of understand your feeling as I often wish I could take advantage of many of the Euro and UK sportsbook pre-fight and live lines that other people post that aren't available to me. But since I'm exploiting what is probably a short lived workaround to do this I'm not exactly comfortable sharing it in this case, sorry.
     
  19. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2006
    Messages:
    37,938
    Likes Received:
    17,103
    Location:
    philly
    pfister just went all out, got a rd 1 RNC, and he retired in the cage, wow, weird.
     
    Tebowned likes this.
  20. cagebrain

    cagebrain MMA Expert Bettor

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2013
    Messages:
    2,262
    Likes Received:
    1,690
    the guys a dope

    He is starting a promotion and thinks he can make it a rival to UFC and Bellator and will "pay the fighters what they are worth" because he has been on the other side.

    lol. sounds like a kid saying he wants to be an astronaut.
     

Share This Page