I believe in the hangman at this point. He is looking good. confidence soaring, coming into his prime, and matches up stylistically well with Edson.
This fight is solid matchmaking for both guys. Gives Edson the fight he needs to prove he is still top 5 material without being a stylistic nightmare or a gimmee. And provides Hooker a fantastic opportunity to prove he is top 10 and contender material, but he won't be totally derailed if he does lose (as long as it is vaguely competitive).
Also a great match in Lee v Ragin Al 2. Lightweight is getting sorted after a long time being fucked up! If they give Ferguson the Khabib fight, i will be so impressed with the UFc matchmaking for once.