I am not a betting man, but if i was, i still wouldn't bet on this one. Bader has gotten clipped and finished coming in before, but also has KO power himself. This is just a 50/50 bad bet imo.
I expect the lines to get closer.
People forget Bader getting totally owned by Rumble, dropped by Tito, one shotted by Machida.
Fedor is gonna hit him imo, and he wont respond well