How do you guys see this fight going tonight. Lee is a great grappler, but Barboza has strong takedown defense. Lee appears to be improving in the standup, but that's Barboza's game. I feel like Lee is favored to win, but I could really see Edson playing spoiler there.
Lee and Edson both have a problem that Poirier doesn't have in terms of immediate prospects of contention. They've lost to the two best guys in the division (and McG is obviously one of the best too, but I'm just leaving him out of the conversation until we get a sense that he will be back) and they've lost recently and they lost emphatically.
So even if Lee dominates, you have a guy who missed the 155 limit and just a previous fight ago got subbed by Ferg.
Now, the only way you could conceivably have him leapfrogging Tony in contention is because Tony is sidelined with injury and because Khabib/Tony is a cursed matchup.
If Edson wins, he's in an even tougher spot because he actually lost to the current champ in a way that left no doubts.