Askren won't be able to just go for relentless TD's against Thompson like he does against nobodies. He'd have to set them up with strikes, and he has zero stand-up.
He's a great wrestler but just shooting without setting it up with strikes against Thompson doesn't work anymore. His TDD has become pretty good and his style and speed will be difficult for Askren to deal with.
I think Thompson gives him the Hendricks treatment at this point. Askren will be too slow and his nonexistent stand-up will get him into trouble. Maybe a few years ago he would win and I wouldn't completely count him out today, but Thompson has improved a lot and I believe he'd finish him in the 1st now.
Woodley got him down because he can strike, not because he's just that great at taking people down. This is not the same Thompson that fought Matt Brown, this is somebody else entirely in terms of TDD and such.
Thompson finishes Askren today. Desperate TD's aren't going to work, just like in his last fight where he poked his opponent in the eye. Askren couldn't get him down and was getting VERY sloppy and desperate. That won't get him anywhere against Thompson.
Wonderboy via KO/TKO in the 1st, would be surprised if it went to the 2nd.
Inb4 haters.
Oh, and people saying Askren sucks are dumb. He's actually very good. Just because you dislike him, doesn't mean he's no good. He's one of the best wrestlers/grapplers in MMA. He used to just lay on people but he smashed the last couple guys he fought and did it very easily (except the eye poke stoppage).