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I think now with Travis huge regression this fight is a lot more fair for Overeem than it was the first time they fought. Travis has lost his chin and his movement is pretty atrocious since he started training with Edmond . He still has huge size advantage on overeem but Alistair is the more technical fighter. At this point would be a 50-50 fight... maybe a slight advantage for overeem. First to land is first to win.