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- Mar 14, 2013
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I was just perusing various betting sites, and on The Greek for example (good site btw) here are the current odds:
Conor -135
Diaz +105
Take that as you will, but anyone who knows what both of those fighters bring to the table can attest to the at least semi-legitimacy of said odds.
Do I think Nate is going to win, and do I want him to with...fuck yeah, BUT I envision him fighting HARD (in a stand up war) instead of SMART...(striving to keep it OFF the feet) which would be a shame because Nate is bound to get cut up early...(again) Just Bleed style...
...whereas he could obviously do WORK on the mat in multiple dimensions. (...alas, his power base is not there in order to force a ground game without using trickery...although I could be wrong in reference to someone as limited and small as Conor...)
And I know, tons of y'all are going to proclaim that the odds are WAY OFF, but...they aren't really that far off.
Personally, I think Nate should be a 2 to 1 favorite, and although he is the slight underdog, that doesn't mean that Vegas is predicting that outcome, as variables abound as far as odds are concerned.
In MMA, the fame of a given fighter can REALLY skew the odds in a given fight...(in large part due to the limited number of people who gamble in it, as opposed to other sports) and I would venture a guess that's what's happening in this fight.
In closing, to those of you who gamble on MMA, you know damn well that one can find GREAT success from gambling on it...as opposed to team sports as I already mentioned.
I have yet to look at prop bets for this fight, (I'm not sure if they're even available yet) but the primary outcome (Nate being a +105 underdog) is more than tempting to gamble on...
...and I'm talking about GAMBLING on it, because of course, it's not gambling if you can afford to lose.
Anyway, WAR Diaz!
Conor -135
Diaz +105
Take that as you will, but anyone who knows what both of those fighters bring to the table can attest to the at least semi-legitimacy of said odds.
Do I think Nate is going to win, and do I want him to with...fuck yeah, BUT I envision him fighting HARD (in a stand up war) instead of SMART...(striving to keep it OFF the feet) which would be a shame because Nate is bound to get cut up early...(again) Just Bleed style...
...whereas he could obviously do WORK on the mat in multiple dimensions. (...alas, his power base is not there in order to force a ground game without using trickery...although I could be wrong in reference to someone as limited and small as Conor...)
And I know, tons of y'all are going to proclaim that the odds are WAY OFF, but...they aren't really that far off.
Personally, I think Nate should be a 2 to 1 favorite, and although he is the slight underdog, that doesn't mean that Vegas is predicting that outcome, as variables abound as far as odds are concerned.
In MMA, the fame of a given fighter can REALLY skew the odds in a given fight...(in large part due to the limited number of people who gamble in it, as opposed to other sports) and I would venture a guess that's what's happening in this fight.
In closing, to those of you who gamble on MMA, you know damn well that one can find GREAT success from gambling on it...as opposed to team sports as I already mentioned.
I have yet to look at prop bets for this fight, (I'm not sure if they're even available yet) but the primary outcome (Nate being a +105 underdog) is more than tempting to gamble on...
...and I'm talking about GAMBLING on it, because of course, it's not gambling if you can afford to lose.
Anyway, WAR Diaz!
