xMaxPower
Red Belt
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2013
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I usually only look for underdogs when making bets. With that said, here it is:
Vitor +285 over Jaracre
IMO, Jaracre is most likely to win as he has more ways of winning as he can win by KO/Sub/Dec (Dec especially because its a 5 round fight). HOWEVER, Since this fight is in Brazil, I would keep track on what kind of shape Vitor is in, and as soon as I see that he's looking like a monster again, I am going to put some down on Vitor. If TRTor is back, he should be a +150 underdog, so the value is there.
Shogun +200 over Rahsad
2 fighters on the decline but I see this as a 50/50 fight. Shoguns takedown defense is pretty good and he has heavy leg kicks and Rashads striking has just looked... not that great. Value is with Shogun.
Magny +120 over Lombard
10 inch reach advantage, 10 year youth advantage, Lombard off roids and just on the decline in general. Magny will stay on the outside and pick Lombard apart. Not going to say its a lock, as I'm not the typical sherdogger, but I will say that I see Magny as a -400 underdog. Huge value here. I'm going to make the bet right now since I can't see it getting any better.
None of these are being placed as my "Bold prediction" though. Magny isn't a big enough underdog for me to consider him a bold pick. The other two I'm not that confident in, but the value is there.
Before some of you rich sherdoggers or sherdoggers who pretend to be rich say "ohhh you only bet $40, you're not confident in the bet" or something stupid, $40 is a lot to me (I'm a poor ass university student ). $40 is the most I've ever bet on a single bet (tied with my Wonderboy and Nate bets). I plan to bet more on Magny if the odds get better.
Vitor +285 over Jaracre
IMO, Jaracre is most likely to win as he has more ways of winning as he can win by KO/Sub/Dec (Dec especially because its a 5 round fight). HOWEVER, Since this fight is in Brazil, I would keep track on what kind of shape Vitor is in, and as soon as I see that he's looking like a monster again, I am going to put some down on Vitor. If TRTor is back, he should be a +150 underdog, so the value is there.
Shogun +200 over Rahsad
2 fighters on the decline but I see this as a 50/50 fight. Shoguns takedown defense is pretty good and he has heavy leg kicks and Rashads striking has just looked... not that great. Value is with Shogun.
Magny +120 over Lombard
10 inch reach advantage, 10 year youth advantage, Lombard off roids and just on the decline in general. Magny will stay on the outside and pick Lombard apart. Not going to say its a lock, as I'm not the typical sherdogger, but I will say that I see Magny as a -400 underdog. Huge value here. I'm going to make the bet right now since I can't see it getting any better.
None of these are being placed as my "Bold prediction" though. Magny isn't a big enough underdog for me to consider him a bold pick. The other two I'm not that confident in, but the value is there.
Before some of you rich sherdoggers or sherdoggers who pretend to be rich say "ohhh you only bet $40, you're not confident in the bet" or something stupid, $40 is a lot to me (I'm a poor ass university student ). $40 is the most I've ever bet on a single bet (tied with my Wonderboy and Nate bets). I plan to bet more on Magny if the odds get better.
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