I honestly don't know who to pick. I'm a fan of both. Matt has excellent, also underrated, Muay Thai, conditioning, wrestling and bjj, not to mention his durability. Lawler is just a beast as well. I love this fight and agree, I would LOVE to see a 5 round war, but someone getting finished is the most likely scenario.
I like Matt alot. Having met him on a few different occasions, interviewed him and spoken to him numerous times, it's really hard for me to pick against him. After all he has overcome in life to turn himself around and be where he is today, it's inspiring. I hate to pick against either, so I'm just hoping we get to see a fight to remember for a long time to come